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Saturday, August 18, 2007

Forex Technical Analysis for 08/20-08/24 Week

EUR/USD - sell.
GBP/USD - sell.
USD/JPY - sell.
EUR/JPY - sell.

Floor Pivot Points:
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.3847 1.3567 1.3520 1.3614 1.3567 1.3661 1.3614
GBP/USD 2.0353 1.9301 1.9556 1.9906 2.0161 2.0511 2.0766
USD/JPY 119.03 107.87 111.12 114.84 118.09 121.81 125.06
EUR/JPY 163.31 142.21 148.15 155.19 161.13 168.17 174.11

Woodie's Pivot Points:
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.3532 1.3451 1.3579 1.3498 1.3626
GBP/USD 1.9301 1.9556 1.9906 2.0161 2.0511
USD/JPY 107.87 111.12 114.84 118.09 121.81
EUR/JPY 142.21 148.15 155.19 161.13 168.17

Camarilla Pivot Points:
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.3448 1.3461 1.3465 1.3470 1.3478 1.3483 1.3487 1.3500
GBP/USD 1.9477 1.9644 1.9699 1.9755 1.9865 1.9921 1.9976 2.0143
USD/JPY 110.54 112.45 113.09 113.73 115.01 115.65 116.29 118.20
EUR/JPY 146.96 150.53 151.72 152.91 155.29 156.48 157.67 161.24

Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.3707 2.0257 118.56 162.22
61.8% 1.3689 2.0026 115.90 157.26
50.0% 1.3684 1.9955 115.08 155.73
38.2% 1.3678 1.9883 114.25 154.20
23.6% 1.3671 1.9795 113.23 152.30
0.0% 1.3660 1.9652 111.59 149.24

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Saturday, August 11, 2007

Forex Technical Analysis for 08/14-08/18 Week

Estimated general trends:
EUR/USD - bearish.

GBP/USD - bearish.
USD/JPY - bearish or ranging.
EUR/JPY - bearish or ranging.

Floor Pivot Points:
Pair 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
EUR/USD 1.3870 1.3526 1.3610 1.3724 1.3808 1.3922 1.4006
GBP/USD 2.0513 1.9973 2.0102 2.0282 2.0411 2.0591 2.0720
USD/JPY 119.91 115.82 117.10 118.47 119.75 121.12 122.40
EUR/JPY 165.76 157.07 159.59 162.48 165.00 167.89 170.41

Woodie's Pivot Points:
Pair 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
EUR/USD 1.3519 1.3594 1.3717 1.3792 1.3915
GBP/USD 1.9973 2.0102 2.0282 2.0411 2.0591
USD/JPY 115.82 117.10 118.47 119.75 121.12
EUR/JPY 157.07 159.59 162.48 165.00 167.89

Camarilla Pivot Points:
Pair 4th Sup 3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
EUR/USD 1.3584 1.3639 1.3657 1.3675 1.3711 1.3729 1.3747 1.3802
GBP/USD 2.0061 2.0146 2.0174 2.0203 2.0259 2.0288 2.0316 2.0401
USD/JPY 116.93 117.66 117.90 118.15 118.63 118.88 119.12 119.85
EUR/JPY 159.12 160.61 161.11 161.60 162.60 163.09 163.59 165.08

Tom DeMark's Pivot Points:
Pair: EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
Resistance: 1.3766 2.0501 120.44 163.74
Support: 1.3568 2.0192 117.79 158.33

Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
Pairs EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY EUR/JPY
100.0% 1.3839 2.0462 119.83 165.38
61.8% 1.3763 2.0344 118.82 163.31
50.0% 1.3740 2.0308 118.51 162.68
38.2% 1.3717 2.0271 118.19 162.04
23.6% 1.3688 2.0226 117.81 161.25
0.0% 1.3641 2.0153 117.18 159.97

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Saturday, June 16, 2007

EUR/USD Technical Analysis for the 6/18-6/22 Week

General trend: ranging.

Floor Pivot Points:
3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
1.3178 1.3220 1.3304 1.3346 1.3430 1.3472 1.3556

Woodie's Pivot Points:
2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
1.3231 1.3324 1.3357 1.34511.3483

Camarilla Pivot Points:
4th Sup3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
1.3319 1.3353 1.3365 1.3376 1.3400 1.3411 1.3423 1.3457

Tom DeMark's Pivot Points:
Resistance:1.3451
Support:1.3325

Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
100.0% 1.3388
61.8% 1.3340
50.0% 1.3325
38.2% 1.3310
23.6% 1.3292
0.0% 1.3262

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Monday, June 11, 2007

Forex Trading Using the Long-Term Charts

When it comes to Forex trading it is usually associated intraday trading or more rarely - intraweek trading. This is caused mainly by the high volatility of major currency pairs which makes them potentially profitable in the small amounts of time, while making it too risky in longer terms. Second reason for the short-term Forex trading being more popular is a high leverage margin accounts - 1:100 or even higher – this increases single position risk and profit making it deadly risky in a long term.

Long-term trading in Forex can be defined as deliberate maintaining of open positions for more than a week. Under one week term is still considered a short-term for Forex – position lives through just a few different news releases and is not caused by long-term forecasting. Whereas position which is kept open for several weeks usually lives through some news releases on the same topic (but with different) and thus requires some long-term forecasting and technical analysis on daily/weekly charts.

Success in Forex trading (like in any other financial trading) depends greatly on trader’s psychology and emotions. Some traders are comfortable with fast and exciting (if trading can be exciting) trading style when positions are open and closed within minutes. Others prefer keeping their positions open for several hours – watch them rise or fall and have some time to react to the market moves. Trying to trade in the time periods that don’t suit your character type won’t bring you any profit. To trade successfully one must be emotionally integral and calm. If trader is uncomfortable with intraday or daily trading he needs to try something different. Long-term Forex trading is good for:
  1. Traders that don’t have time to sit in front of their terminal for the whole day.
  2. Traders that like to spend a lot of time in fundamental or technical analysis.
  3. Those that can spend more than one day when it comes to the actual trading decision.
If you feel that you fall into one of the above categories of Forex traders I suggest you at least to try long-term trading. Perhaps, it will dramatically improve your trading results.
The best charts for the long-term trading in Forex market are daily and weekly charts (and other charts of bigger periods). Personally I prefer using a weekly chart for EUR/USD pair, since technical analysis patterns can be clearly seen on such chart (unlike short-term charts that often behave against all possible predictions). Determining a trend or breakout is not hard on the long-term charts usually. But even if a trader fails to recognize a pattern and opens a wrong position he will have many days to close it, and often he will have a chance to close even a bad position with a small profit. Using fundamental analysis in long-term Forex trading isn’t hard too. Trader just needs to analyze general trades in central banks’ interest rates decisions and act according to possible carry trade trends. Long-term trader also shouldn’t forget about general global trends – like oil prices, commodities, political situation and others. Maintaining stop-losses is very important and especially if trader uses high leverage – stop-loss shouldn’t be to far away from the open price. Trailing stop is good, but it should be manual, not automatic. Stop loss moving should be based on the Forex market behavior. Position target should be set according to the trader’s plan – when analyzing the long-term chart it is really not difficult to determine the most probable targets for the currency pair to land.

So, if you think that short-term Forex trading doesn’t posses a good potential for you as a Forex trader – try long-term trading. In Forex it is still good as it is with stocks. Just don’t forget that you are trading with leverage, that main trends are caused by central banks’ interest rates decisions and that stop-loss/target-profit should be placed according to charts technical analysis.

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Saturday, June 09, 2007

EUR/USD Technical Analysis for the 6/11-6/15 Week

General trend: slightly bearish.

Floor Pivot Points:
3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res
1.3045 1.3182 1.3278 1.3415 1.3511 1.3648 1.3744

Woodie's Pivot Points:
2nd Sup 1st Sup Pivot 1st Res 2nd Res
1.3172 1.3257 1.3405 1.34901.3638

Camarilla Pivot Points:
4th Sup3rd Sup 2nd Sup 1st Sup 1st Res 2nd Res 3rd Res 4th Res
1.3245 1.3309 1.3330 1.3352 1.3394 1.3416 1.3437 1.3501

Tom DeMark's Pivot Points:
Resistance:1.3580
Support:1.3347

Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
100.0% 1.3553
61.8% 1.3464
50.0% 1.3437
38.2% 1.3409
23.6% 1.3375
0.0% 1.3320

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Thursday, May 03, 2007

3 New Forex Articles

Three new articles covering two different Forex trading aspects have been added to the Forex article section today. These aspects are getting Forex education and Forex technical analysis. All three articles are written by the same author - Sacha Tarkovsky and are very professional pieces of Forex information:
FOREX Education - Thinking Of Buying FOREX Advice? Read This First - about how to stop yourself from buying something that will not help you become a good Forex trader at all and how to avoid losing precious time and money on wrong education courses.
Gann Angles - A Unique Powerful Tool For Trading Profits - Gann Angles as one of the prominent technical analysis system and its application in the Forex trading.
Fibonacci Numbers - Trade For Huge Profits With This Unique Tool! - Fibonacci numbers and Fibonacci retracement levels should be well known to all technical Forex traders - they are great tool to determine the important market levels in Forex.

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